Georgia State Composite Control — 2024 | Punt & Rally
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Georgia State
2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
50.1
Composite Rank: #84  •  2–9 (FBS games)
GC Score
35.8
#101 in FBS
GC Net
-28.1
Raw GC Net
GC Off
26.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
54.2
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
64.3
#59 in FBS
MC Net
-0.38
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.35
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 29 points. Georgia State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 64.3) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 35.8). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Georgia Tech A L 12–35 8.4 78.1 -69.6 21.1% 0% —
2 Chattanooga H — 46 23.2 +22.8 56.4% 27.3% —
3 Vanderbilt H W 36–32 63.8 13.6 +50.2 69.1% 55.2% —
5 Georgia Southern H L 21–38 7.6 81.2 -73.6 18.9% 0% —
7 Old Dominion H L 14–21 13.9 52.5 -38.5 34.8% 0% —
8 Marshall A L 20–35 13.1 71.1 -57.9 31.6% 1.3% —
9 App State A L 26–33 43.7 32.6 +11 59.7% 41.4% —
10 UConn A L 27–34 11.3 74.2 -63 27.6% 0.7% —
11 James Madison A L 7–38 6.4 85.4 -79 16% 0% —
12 Arkansas State H L 20–27 15.7 52.2 -36.6 33.6% 3.1% —
13 Texas State A W 52–44 64.1 13.4 +50.7 75.2% 61% —
14 Coastal Carolina H L 27–48 10.2 73.3 -63.1 22.5% 0% —
2W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Georgia Tech A L 12–35 1.52 3.04 -1.52 1 2 ✗ 1
1
3 Vanderbilt H W 36–32 1.21 1.21 +0 1 1 Tied
1
5 Georgia Southern H L 21–38 0.5 1 -0.5 1 2 ✗ 1
0.5
7 Old Dominion H L 14–21 0 0.76 -0.76 0 1 ✗ 0
0.76
8 Marshall A L 20–35 1.7 2.55 -0.85 2 3 ✗ 2
0.85
9 App State A L 26–33 0.49 0 +0.49 1 0 ✓ +1
0.49
10 UConn A L 27–34 1.45 2.18 -0.73 2 3 ✗ 2
0.73
11 James Madison A L 7–38 0 0.71 -0.71 0 1 ✗ 0
0.71
12 Arkansas State H L 20–27 0 0.55 -0.55 0 1 ✗ 0
0.55
13 Texas State A W 52–44 4.69 2.35 +2.34 4 2 ✓ +4
1
14 Coastal Carolina H L 27–48 0.3 0.9 -0.6 1 3 ✗ 1
0.3
2W / 11G ——— 13 19 — —