2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
36.5
Composite Rank: #117
•
3–8
(FBS games)
GC Score
22.1
#129 in FBS
GC Net
-47.5
Raw GC Net
GC Off
12.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
60.1
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
50.9
#102 in FBS
MC Net
-1.26
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.53
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 29 points.
Central Michigan generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 50.9)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 22.1).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Central Connecticut H | — | 88.1 | 4.8 | +83.3 |
| 2 | Florida International N | L 16–52 | 6.1 | 84.9 | -78.8 |
| 3 | Illinois A | L 9–30 | 9.4 | 74.5 | -65.2 |
| 4 | Ball State H | W 37–34 | 30.4 | 44 | -13.5 |
| 5 | San Diego State H | W 22–21 | 13.8 | 71.5 | -57.7 |
| 7 | Ohio H | L 25–27 | 7.9 | 80.6 | -72.6 |
| 8 | Eastern Michigan A | L 34–38 | 55.2 | 29.3 | +25.9 |
| 9 | Miami (OH) A | L 7–46 | 10.4 | 70.3 | -59.8 |
| 11 | Bowling Green H | L 13–23 | 6.9 | 85.2 | -78.3 |
| 12 | Toledo A | L 10–37 | 9 | 75.9 | -66.9 |
| 13 | Western Michigan H | W 16–14 | 51.1 | 20.6 | +30.5 |
| 14 | Northern Illinois A | L 16–24 | 11.4 | 79.8 | -68.4 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | Florida International A | L 16–52 | 0 | 0.83 | -0.83 |
| 3 | Illinois A | L 9–30 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 |
| 4 | Ball State H | W 37–34 | 0.11 | 0.05 | +0.06 |
| 5 | San Diego State H | W 22–21 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 7 | Ohio H | L 25–27 | 0.53 | 1.05 | -0.52 |
| 8 | Eastern Michigan A | L 34–38 | 0.56 | 0.74 | -0.18 |
| 9 | Miami (OH) A | L 7–46 | 0 | 4.71 | -4.71 |
| 11 | Bowling Green H | L 13–23 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 12 | Toledo A | L 10–37 | 0 | 0.47 | -0.47 |
| 13 | Western Michigan H | W 16–14 | 0.43 | 0 | +0.43 |
| 14 | Northern Illinois A | L 16–24 | 1.65 | 1.65 | +0 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||