UTEP Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally
2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
20
Composite Rank: #114  •  2–9 (FBS games)
GC Score
5.6
#128 in FBS
GC Net
-45.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
14.5
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
60.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
34.4
#88 in FBS
MC Net
-1.06
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.27
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 29 points. UTEP generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 34.4) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 5.6). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Jacksonville State A L 14–17 12.9 70.2 -57.4 32.2% 0%
1 Incarnate Word H 43.4 22 +21.4 59.3% 35.2%
2 Northwestern A L 7–38 16.5 47.1 -30.6 35.1% 3.6%
3 Arizona A L 10–31 8.8 76.2 -67.3 22% 0%
4 UNLV H L 28–45 8.7 81.8 -73 21.8% 0%
5 Louisiana Tech H L 10–24 7.2 91.2 -84 18% 0%
7 Florida International A W 27–14 90.6 5.3 +85.3 86.7% 92.4%
8 New Mexico State H L 7–28 8.9 69.1 -60.3 22.2% 0%
9 Sam Houston A W 37–34 19.2 51.5 -32.3 36.8% 7.2%
10 Western Kentucky H L 13–21 19.4 49.3 -30 35.5% 3.7%
12 Middle Tennessee A L 30–34 12.5 71 -58.5 31.3% 0%
13 Liberty H L 28–42 4.5 88.5 -84 11.3% 0%
2W / 11G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Jacksonville State A L 14–17 0 0.95 -0.95 0 1 ✗ 0
0.95
2 Northwestern A L 7–38 0 3.64 -3.64 0 4 ✗ 0
0.91
3 Arizona A L 10–31 0 1.97 -1.97 0 1 ✗ 0
1
4 UNLV H L 28–45 0 1.14 -1.14 0 1 ✗ 0
1
5 Louisiana Tech H L 10–24 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.34
7 Florida International A W 27–14 0.18 0 +0.18 2 0 ✓ +2
0.09
8 New Mexico State H L 7–28 0 2.14 -2.14 0 2 ✗ 0
1
9 Sam Houston A W 37–34 0.61 0.3 +0.31 2 1 ✓ +2
0.3
10 Western Kentucky H L 13–21 0 0.9 -0.9 0 1 ✗ 0
0.9
12 Middle Tennessee A L 30–34 0 0.47 -0.47 0 1 ✗ 0
0.47
13 Liberty H L 28–42 1.94 1.94 +0 1 1 Tied
1
2W / 11G 5 13