Toledo Composite Control — 2023

Toledo Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally

2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

Composite Rank: #20 • 10–3 (FBS games)

GC Score

60.5

#28 in FBS

GC Net

+17.9

Raw GC Net

GC Off

44.8

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

26.9

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

63.4

#15 in FBS

MC Net

+0.53

Raw MC Net

MC Off

1.03

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

83.3%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Illinois A	L 28–30	20	66.6	-46.7	31.1%	7.1%	—
2	Texas Southern H	—	91.7	3.3	+88.4	91.7%	90.8%	✓
3	San José State H	W 21–17	33.4	37.8	-4.4	46.3%	24.3%	—
4	Western Michigan H	W 49–31	39.3	36.3	+3	52.5%	28.7%	—
5	Northern Illinois H	W 35–33	72	11.3	+60.8	71.9%	64.6%	✓
6	Massachusetts A	W 41–24	56.5	21.4	+35.2	67.5%	45.2%	—
7	Ball State A	W 13–6	41.5	17.4	+24.1	57.7%	17.3%	✓
8	Miami (OH) A	L 14–23	76.9	10	+67	75.1%	73%	✓
10	Buffalo H	W 31–13	94.2	5.1	+89.2	87.3%	98%	✓
11	Eastern Michigan H	W 49–23	91	3.9	+87.1	90.3%	89.5%	✓
12	Bowling Green A	W 32–31	13.9	67.1	-53.2	28.5%	3.9%	—
13	Central Michigan A	W 32–17	63.2	11	+52.2	72.4%	53.2%	✓
14	Miami (OH) N	L 14–23	16.1	63.7	-47.6	31.5%	0%	—
1	Wyoming NPost	L 15–16	49.6	22.2	+27.3	60.3%	38.1%	—
9W / 13G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	Illinois A	L 28–30	2.5	0.83	+1.67	3	1	✓ +3	0.83
3	San José State H	W 21–17	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.88
4	Western Michigan H	W 49–31	0.66	0.22	+0.44	3	1	✓ +3	0.22
5	Northern Illinois H	W 35–33	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.6
6	Massachusetts A	W 41–24	0.67	0.17	+0.5	4	1	✓ +4	0.17
7	Ball State A	W 13–6	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.25
8	Miami (OH) A	W 21–17	1.26	0	+1.26	1	0	✓ +1	1
10	Buffalo H	W 31–13	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.25
11	Eastern Michigan H	W 49–23	1.85	0.46	+1.39	4	1	✓ +4	0.46
12	Bowling Green A	W 32–31	0	0.65	-0.65	0	1	✗ 0	0.65
13	Central Michigan A	W 32–17	0.26	0	+0.26	2	0	✓ +2	0.13
14	Miami (OH) H	L 14–23	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
1	Wyoming APost	L 15–16	0.76	1.53	-0.77	1	2	✗ 1	0.76
10W / 13G			—	—	—	18	7	—	—