Tennessee Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally
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Tennessee
2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
48.7
Composite Rank: #47  •  8–4 (FBS games)
GC Score
61.7
#24 in FBS
GC Net
+19.3
Raw GC Net
GC Off
46.3
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
27
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
35.7
#83 in FBS
MC Net
-0.99
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.67
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 26 points. Tennessee dominated win probability (Game Control score: 61.7) but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 35.7). This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs — a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Virginia N W 49–13 98.7 0.5 +98.3 98.8% 100% ✓
2 Austin Peay H — 54.4 23.7 +30.7 64.9% 51.6% —
3 Florida A L 16–29 12.1 68.9 -56.9 20.8% 1.3% —
4 UTSA H W 45–14 93.6 5.6 +88 86% 97.6% ✓
5 South Carolina H W 41–20 61.4 14.8 +46.6 64.3% 51.7% —
7 Texas A&M H W 20–13 33.5 32.9 +0.6 49.8% 16.8% —
8 Alabama A L 20–34 58.8 26.5 +32.3 66.1% 56.4% —
9 Kentucky A W 33–27 78.4 11.4 +67 71.5% 73.9% ✓
10 UConn H W 59–3 85.7 6.8 +78.9 83.1% 78.9% ✓
11 Missouri A L 7–36 11.3 63.8 -52.5 26.1% 0.6% —
12 Georgia H L 10–38 10 79.3 -69.3 14.8% 2.1% —
13 Vanderbilt H W 48–24 74.6 8.8 +65.8 78% 62.8% ✓
1 Iowa NPost W 35–0 77.2 8.3 +68.9 79.3% 72.9% ✓
8W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Virginia H W 49–13 0.86 0 +0.86 2 0 ✓ +2
0.43
3 Florida A L 16–29 0 4.3 -4.3 0 3 ✗ 0
1
4 UTSA H W 45–14 3.9 1.3 +2.6 3 1 ✓ +3
1
5 South Carolina H W 41–20 1.24 1.24 +0 1 1 Tied
1
7 Texas A&M H W 20–13 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
8 Alabama A L 20–34 3.2 9.61 -6.41 1 3 ✗ 1
1
9 Kentucky A W 33–27 1.72 0 +1.72 1 0 ✓ +1
1
10 UConn H W 59–3 0.44 0 +0.44 2 0 ✓ +2
0.22
11 Missouri A L 7–36 0 5.08 -5.08 0 2 ✗ 0
1
12 Georgia H L 10–38 0 11.8 -11.8 0 3 ✗ 0
1
13 Vanderbilt H W 48–24 0.59 0.3 +0.29 2 1 ✓ +2
0.3
1 Iowa HPost W 35–0 1.61 0 +1.61 1 0 ✓ +1
1
8W / 12G ——— 13 14 — —