2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
50.1
Composite Rank: #39
•
6–6
(FBS games)
GC Score
35
#80 in FBS
GC Net
-11.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
32.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
44.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
65.2
#13 in FBS
MC Net
+0.63
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.46
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
83.3%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 30 points.
South Alabama generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 65.2)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 35).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Tulane A | L 17–37 | 6.7 | 88.3 | -81.5 |
| 2 | SE Louisiana H | — | 46.8 | 16.1 | +30.6 |
| 3 | Oklahoma State A | W 33–7 | 84.5 | 5.7 | +78.8 |
| 4 | Central Michigan H | L 30–34 | 35 | 41.9 | -6.9 |
| 5 | James Madison A | L 23–31 | 5.4 | 91.4 | -86 |
| 6 | UL Monroe A | W 55–7 | 93.2 | 2.7 | +90.5 |
| 8 | Southern Miss H | W 55–3 | 91.7 | 4.4 | +87.3 |
| 9 | Louisiana H | L 20–33 | 7 | 78.9 | -71.9 |
| 10 | Troy A | L 10–28 | 26.4 | 50.9 | -24.5 |
| 11 | Arkansas State H | W 21–14 | 66.3 | 11 | +55.3 |
| 12 | Marshall H | W 28–0 | 89.8 | 4.7 | +85.1 |
| 13 | Texas State A | L 44–52 | 7.5 | 89.5 | -82 |
| 1 | Eastern Michigan APost | W 59–10 | 4.3 | 90.2 | -86 |
| 6W / 12G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Tulane A | L 17–37 | 0 | 3.88 | -3.88 |
| 3 | Oklahoma State A | W 33–7 | 4.3 | 0 | +4.3 |
| 4 | Central Michigan H | L 30–34 | 0.13 | 0.13 | +0 |
| 5 | James Madison A | L 23–31 | 4.17 | 0 | +4.17 |
| 6 | UL Monroe A | W 55–7 | 0.44 | 0 | +0.44 |
| 8 | Southern Miss H | W 55–3 | 1.46 | 0 | +1.46 |
| 9 | Louisiana H | L 20–33 | 0 | 2.04 | -2.04 |
| 10 | Troy A | L 10–28 | 0 | 1.81 | -1.81 |
| 11 | Arkansas State H | W 21–14 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 12 | Marshall H | W 28–0 | 1.58 | 0 | +1.58 |
| 13 | Texas State A | L 44–52 | 0.75 | 0.75 | +0 |
| 1 | Eastern Michigan APost | W 59–10 | 2.31 | 0 | +2.31 |
| 6W / 12G | — | — | — | ||