South Alabama Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally
2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
50.1
Composite Rank: #39  •  6–6 (FBS games)
GC Score
35
#80 in FBS
GC Net
-11.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
32.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
44.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
65.2
#13 in FBS
MC Net
+0.63
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.46
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
83.3%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 30 points. South Alabama generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 65.2) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 35). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Tulane A L 17–37 6.7 88.3 -81.5 16.8% 0%
2 SE Louisiana H 46.8 16.1 +30.6 64.4% 37.9%
3 Oklahoma State A W 33–7 84.5 5.7 +78.8 85.8% 79.5%
4 Central Michigan H L 30–34 35 41.9 -6.9 45.2% 17.2%
5 James Madison A L 23–31 5.4 91.4 -86 13.5% 0%
6 UL Monroe A W 55–7 93.2 2.7 +90.5 93.2% 91.9%
8 Southern Miss H W 55–3 91.7 4.4 +87.3 89.1% 92.2%
9 Louisiana H L 20–33 7 78.9 -71.9 17.4% 0%
10 Troy A L 10–28 26.4 50.9 -24.5 39.7% 18.1%
11 Arkansas State H W 21–14 66.3 11 +55.3 73.7% 55%
12 Marshall H W 28–0 89.8 4.7 +85.1 88.2% 88.1%
13 Texas State A L 44–52 7.5 89.5 -82 18.7% 0%
1 Eastern Michigan APost W 59–10 4.3 90.2 -86 10.7% 0%
6W / 12G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Tulane A L 17–37 0 3.88 -3.88 0 3 ✗ 0
1
3 Oklahoma State A W 33–7 4.3 0 +4.3 3 0 ✓ +3
1
4 Central Michigan H L 30–34 0.13 0.13 +0 1 1 Tied
0.13
5 James Madison A L 23–31 4.17 0 +4.17 2 0 ✓ +2
1
6 UL Monroe A W 55–7 0.44 0 +0.44 7 0 ✓ +7
0.06
8 Southern Miss H W 55–3 1.46 0 +1.46 6 0 ✓ +6
0.24
9 Louisiana H L 20–33 0 2.04 -2.04 0 2 ✗ 0
1
10 Troy A L 10–28 0 1.81 -1.81 0 1 ✗ 0
1
11 Arkansas State H W 21–14 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.56
12 Marshall H W 28–0 1.58 0 +1.58 3 0 ✓ +3
0.53
13 Texas State A L 44–52 0.75 0.75 +0 1 1 Tied
0.75
1 Eastern Michigan APost W 59–10 2.31 0 +2.31 5 0 ✓ +5
0.46
6W / 12G 28 8