Georgia State Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally
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Georgia State
2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
34.5
Composite Rank: #78  •  6–6 (FBS games)
GC Score
48.5
#48 in FBS
GC Net
+4
Raw GC Net
GC Off
36.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
32.6
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
20.4
#118 in FBS
MC Net
-1.83
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.51
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 28 points. Georgia State dominated win probability (Game Control score: 48.5) but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 20.4). This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs — a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Rhode Island H — 67.8 13.3 +54.5 71.8% 67.8% —
2 UConn H W 35–14 85 6.7 +78.3 83.2% 81.4% ✓
3 Charlotte A W 41–25 86.6 6.6 +80 83.4% 86.8% ✓
4 Coastal Carolina A W 30–17 87.1 7.7 +79.3 80.7% 90.1% ✓
5 Troy H L 7–28 15.5 60.6 -45.1 28.9% 0% —
7 Marshall H W 41–24 76.3 10.8 +65.5 73% 69.1% ✓
8 Louisiana A W 20–17 67.8 12.2 +55.6 69.4% 59.1% ✓
9 Georgia Southern A L 27–44 7.6 77.8 -70.2 19% 0% —
10 James Madison H L 14–42 10.1 65.3 -55.2 25.3% 0% —
11 App State H L 14–42 6.2 82.4 -76.2 15.5% 0% —
12 LSU A L 14–56 11.6 66 -54.4 23.7% 3.1% —
13 Old Dominion A L 24–25 83.5 6.4 +77 84.2% 89.7% —
1 Utah State NPost W 45–22 79.4 7.9 +71.5 80.3% 76.3% ✓
6W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 UConn H W 35–14 0.22 0 +0.22 1 0 ✓ +1
0.22
3 Charlotte A W 41–25 0.28 0.07 +0.21 4 1 ✓ +4
0.07
4 Coastal Carolina A W 30–17 1.63 0 +1.63 2 0 ✓ +2
0.82
5 Troy H L 7–28 0 1.81 -1.81 0 1 ✗ 0
1
7 Marshall H W 41–24 1.06 0.53 +0.53 2 1 ✓ +2
0.53
8 Louisiana A W 20–17 2.04 2.04 +0 2 2 Tied
1
9 Georgia Southern A L 27–44 0 2.18 -2.18 0 3 ✗ 0
0.73
10 James Madison H L 14–42 0 4.17 -4.17 0 2 ✗ 0
1
11 App State H L 14–42 0 1.21 -1.21 0 1 ✗ 0
1
12 LSU A L 14–56 0 15.81 -15.81 0 6 ✗ 0
1
13 Old Dominion A L 24–25 0.44 0.44 +0 1 1 Tied
0.44
1 Utah State APost W 45–22 0.51 0 +0.51 1 0 ✓ +1
0.51
6W / 12G ——— 13 18 — —