Western Kentucky Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
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Western Kentucky
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
75.4
Composite Rank: #18  •  9–5 (FBS games)
GC Score
57.6
#50 in FBS
GC Net
+2.6
Raw GC Net
GC Off
38.3
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
35.7
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
93.3
#6 in FBS
MC Net
+1.16
Raw MC Net
MC Off
2.16
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
88.9%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 36 points. Western Kentucky generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 93.3) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 57.6). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 UT Martin H W 59–21 69 17.3 +51.6 77.4% 67.3% —
2 Army A L 35–38 6.3 84.7 -78.3 15.9% 0% —
4 Indiana H L 31–33 6.4 92.1 -85.7 15.9% 0% —
5 Michigan State A L 31–48 4 95.7 -91.8 9.9% 0% —
6 UTSA H L 41–49 17.4 59.5 -42.2 35.1% 1.1% —
7 Old Dominion A W 43–20 95.5 2.2 +93.4 94.6% 100% ✓
8 Florida International A W 34–19 75.4 15.8 +59.6 82.5% 93.4% —
9 Charlotte H W 45–13 97.4 1.3 +96 96.7% 100% ✓
10 Middle Tennessee H W 48–21 90 2.7 +87.2 95.2% 100% —
11 Rice A W 42–21 94.5 1.9 +92.6 95.4% 100% ✓
12 Florida Atlantic H W 52–17 95.7 2.8 +93 93.1% 100% ✓
13 Marshall A W 53–21 39.8 44.7 -4.9 52.4% 34% —
14 UTSA A L 41–49 14.5 69.3 -54.9 25.3% 5.7% —
1 App State NPost W 59–38 69.1 9.8 +59.3 77.9% 65.1% —
9W / 14G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 UT Martin H W 59–21 0 0 +0 6 0 ✓ +6
0
2 Army A L 35–38 1.34 2.68 -1.34 1 2 ✗ 1
1
4 Indiana H L 31–33 0 1.1 -1.1 0 2 ✗ 0
0.55
5 Michigan State A L 31–48 3.77 1.89 +1.88 2 1 ✓ +2
1
6 UTSA H L 46–52 1.48 1.48 +0 1 1 Tied
1
7 Old Dominion A W 43–20 1.7 0.57 +1.13 3 1 ✓ +3
0.57
8 Florida International A W 34–19 0.16 0 +0.16 2 0 ✓ +2
0.08
9 Charlotte H W 45–13 0.89 0.3 +0.59 3 1 ✓ +3
0.3
10 Middle Tennessee H W 48–21 2.25 0 +2.25 3 0 ✓ +3
0.75
11 Rice A W 42–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.06
12 Florida Atlantic H W 52–17 2.73 0 +2.73 4 0 ✓ +4
0.68
13 Marshall A W 53–21 8.02 1.6 +6.42 5 1 ✓ +5
1
14 UTSA A L 41–49 2.96 2.96 +0 2 2 Tied
1
1 App State APost W 59–38 1.8 0 +1.8 1 0 ✓ +1
1
9W / 14G ——— 33 11 — —