Utah State Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
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Utah State
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
65.8
Composite Rank: #41  •  10–3 (FBS games)
GC Score
50.9
#63 in FBS
GC Net
-7.6
Raw GC Net
GC Off
33.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
41.2
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
80.7
#17 in FBS
MC Net
+0.5
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.45
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 30 points. Utah State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 80.7) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 50.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Washington State A W 26–23 20 63.3 -43.3 25.2% 2.8% —
2 North Dakota H — 45.9 30.6 +15.3 60.7% 38.2% —
3 Air Force A W 49–45 13.5 77.8 -64.4 23.7% 4.4% —
4 Boise State H L 3–27 3.9 94.9 -91.1 9.6% 0% —
5 BYU H L 20–34 3.8 95.1 -91.3 9.6% 0% —
7 UNLV A W 28–24 29.1 38.4 -9.3 53.5% 16.6% —
8 Colorado State H W 26–24 59.8 16.1 +43.7 61.9% 48% ✓
9 Hawai'i H W 51–31 94 3.6 +90.4 91% 97.2% ✓
10 New Mexico State A W 35–13 71.9 15.2 +56.7 82.8% 84.8% —
11 San José State A W 48–17 58.7 21.1 +37.6 66% 58.3% —
12 Wyoming H L 17–44 15 66.5 -51.5 30.6% 7.8% —
13 New Mexico A W 35–10 96.6 1.3 +95.3 96.7% 100% ✓
14 San Diego State A W 46–13 66.8 16.5 +50.2 70.2% 58.5% ✓
1 Oregon State NPost W 24–13 47.9 36.5 +11.4 55.5% 40.7% —
10W / 13G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Washington State A W 26–23 1.5 1.5 +0 1 1 Tied
1
3 Air Force A W 49–45 4.66 3.11 +1.55 3 2 ✓ +3
1
4 Boise State H L 3–27 0 1.72 -1.72 0 1 ✗ 0
1
5 BYU H L 20–34 0 1.68 -1.68 0 1 ✗ 0
1
7 UNLV A W 28–24 0 0.29 -0.29 0 1 ✗ 0
0.29
8 Colorado State H W 26–24 0.85 0 +0.85 1 0 ✓ +1
0.85
9 Hawai'i H W 51–31 1.71 1.71 +0 2 2 Tied
0.85
10 New Mexico State A W 35–13 0.11 0.04 +0.07 3 1 ✓ +3
0.04
11 San José State A W 48–17 4.39 0 +4.39 5 0 ✓ +5
0.88
12 Wyoming H L 17–44 0 3.12 -3.12 0 3 ✗ 0
1
13 New Mexico A W 35–10 0.29 0 +0.29 2 0 ✓ +2
0.14
14 San Diego State A W 46–13 4.89 0 +4.89 3 0 ✓ +3
1
1 Oregon State APost W 24–13 1.68 0 +1.68 1 0 ✓ +1
1
10W / 13G ——— 21 12 — —