USC Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
56.6
Composite Rank: #62  •  4–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
39.9
#82 in FBS
GC Net
-24.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
25.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
49.6
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
73.3
#33 in FBS
MC Net
+0.11
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.45
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 33 points. USC generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 73.3) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 39.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 San José State H W 30–7 95.1 3.1 +92 92.3% 100%
2 Stanford H L 28–42 27.6 59.6 -32 40.7% 32.4%
3 Washington State A W 45–14 54 26.1 +27.8 67.9% 53.9%
4 Oregon State H L 27–45 32.6 51.5 -19 41.2% 37.7%
5 Colorado A W 37–14 93.1 3.6 +89.5 91% 100%
6 Utah H L 26–42 13.4 64.4 -51.1 26.7% 2.6%
8 Notre Dame A L 16–31 4.6 92 -87.4 11.5% 0%
9 Arizona H W 41–34 97.2 1.6 +95.6 96% 100%
10 Arizona State A L 16–31 10.1 76.6 -66.5 24.3% 0%
12 UCLA H L 33–62 12.9 69.7 -56.8 20.2% 0%
13 BYU H L 31–35 12.5 76.2 -63.8 22.2% 1.1%
14 California A L 14–24 10.5 71.2 -60.7 24.5% 0%
4W / 12G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 San José State H W 30–7 1.75 0 +1.75 2 0 ✓ +2
0.88
2 Stanford H L 28–42 0.87 0.44 +0.43 2 1 ✓ +2
0.44
3 Washington State A W 45–14 4.49 0 +4.49 3 0 ✓ +3
1
4 Oregon State H L 27–45 3.36 5.04 -1.68 2 3 ✗ 2
1
5 Colorado A W 37–14 1.78 0 +1.78 4 0 ✓ +4
0.44
6 Utah H L 26–42 0 6.81 -6.81 0 3 ✗ 0
1
8 Notre Dame A L 16–31 2.5 2.5 +0 1 1 Tied
1
9 Arizona H W 41–34 0.34 0.34 +0 1 1 Tied
0.34
10 Arizona State A L 16–31 3.88 1.94 +1.94 2 1 ✓ +2
1
12 UCLA H L 33–62 1.72 5.17 -3.45 1 3 ✗ 1
1
13 BYU H L 31–35 3.36 0 +3.36 2 0 ✓ +2
1
14 California A L 14–24 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
4W / 12G 20 13