UCF Composite Control — 2021

UCF Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally

2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

55.4

Composite Rank: #67 • 8–4 (FBS games)

GC Score

60.6

#42 in FBS

GC Net

+7.1

Raw GC Net

GC Off

35.6

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

28.5

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

50.3

#97 in FBS

MC Net

-1.09

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.73

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

80%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Boise State H	W 36–31	32.7	49	-16.3	46.1%	27.8%	—
2	Bethune-Cookman H	—	81.9	6.5	+75.4	83.8%	74.4%	✓
3	Louisville A	L 35–42	41.9	30.2	+11.8	56.6%	41.9%	—
5	Navy A	L 30–34	81.5	9.6	+71.9	82.6%	91.5%	—
6	East Carolina H	W 20–16	47.6	25.1	+22.5	61.7%	55.6%	—
7	Cincinnati A	L 21–56	0.5	98.1	-97.6	1.3%	0%	—
8	Memphis H	W 24–7	87.1	7.7	+79.3	80.7%	87.9%	✓
9	Temple A	W 49–7	92.5	3.4	+89.1	91.5%	100%	✓
10	Tulane H	W 14–10	70.8	13.2	+57.5	77.3%	82.9%	—
11	SMU A	L 28–55	6.6	80	-73.4	13.2%	0%	—
12	UConn H	W 49–17	98.5	0.2	+98.3	99.5%	100%	✓
13	South Florida H	W 17–13	84.5	6.8	+77.7	83.1%	98.7%	✓
1	Florida NPost	W 29–17	37	40.6	-3.7	49.6%	26.5%	—
8W / 12G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	Boise State H	W 36–31	1.72	1.72	+0	1	1	Tied	1
3	Louisville A	L 35–42	1.59	0	+1.59	1	0	✓ +1	1
5	Navy A	L 30–34	0.51	1.03	-0.52	1	2	✗ 1	0.51
6	East Carolina H	W 20–16	1.03	1.03	+0	1	1	Tied	1
7	Cincinnati A	L 21–56	0	11.65	-11.65	0	4	✗ 0	1
8	Memphis H	W 24–7	1.07	0	+1.07	1	0	✓ +1	1
9	Temple A	W 49–7	0.26	0	+0.26	2	0	✓ +2	0.13
10	Tulane H	W 14–10	0	0.76	-0.76	0	1	✗ 0	0.76
11	SMU A	L 28–55	0	8.41	-8.41	0	5	✗ 0	1
12	UConn H	W 49–17	0.09	0	+0.09	4	0	✓ +4	0.02
13	South Florida H	W 17–13	0	0.36	-0.36	0	1	✗ 0	0.36
1	Florida APost	W 29–17	3.74	0	+3.74	2	0	✓ +2	1
8W / 12G			—	—	—	13	15	—	—