2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
57.8
Composite Rank: #58
•
7–5
(FBS games)
GC Score
45
#72 in FBS
GC Net
-16.4
Raw GC Net
GC Off
23
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
39.4
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
70.6
#42 in FBS
MC Net
-0.03
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.98
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
83.3%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 26 points.
Tulsa generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 70.6)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 45).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | UC Davis H | — | 69.5 | 18.3 | +51.2 |
| 2 | Oklahoma State A | L 23–28 | 13.8 | 61.3 | -47.6 |
| 3 | Ohio State A | L 20–41 | 5.1 | 85.7 | -80.6 |
| 4 | Arkansas State H | W 41–34 | 68.5 | 14.2 | +54.4 |
| 5 | Houston H | L 10–45 | 5.8 | 83.6 | -77.8 |
| 6 | Memphis H | W 35–29 | 61 | 13 | +48 |
| 7 | South Florida A | W 32–31 | 28.7 | 46.4 | -17.8 |
| 9 | Navy H | L 17–20 | 52 | 26.4 | +25.5 |
| 10 | Cincinnati A | L 20–28 | 2.3 | 96.4 | -94.1 |
| 11 | Tulane A | W 20–13 | 85.6 | 9.4 | +76.2 |
| 12 | Temple H | W 44–10 | 97.9 | 0.7 | +97.2 |
| 13 | SMU A | W 34–31 | 40.6 | 48.4 | -7.8 |
| 1 | Old Dominion NPost | W 30–17 | 80.3 | 8 | +72.3 |
| 7W / 12G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | Oklahoma State A | L 23–28 | 0 | 2.48 | -2.48 |
| 3 | Ohio State A | L 20–41 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 4 | Arkansas State H | W 41–34 | 0.33 | 0.16 | +0.17 |
| 5 | Houston H | L 10–45 | 1.86 | 5.58 | -3.72 |
| 6 | Memphis H | W 35–29 | 0 | 1.07 | -1.07 |
| 7 | South Florida A | W 32–31 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 9 | Navy H | L 17–20 | 0 | 1.03 | -1.03 |
| 10 | Cincinnati A | L 20–28 | 5.83 | 2.91 | +2.92 |
| 11 | Tulane A | W 20–13 | 0.76 | 0 | +0.76 |
| 12 | Temple H | W 44–10 | 0.53 | 0 | +0.53 |
| 13 | SMU A | W 34–31 | 5.04 | 3.36 | +1.68 |
| 1 | Old Dominion HPost | W 30–17 | 1.7 | 0 | +1.7 |
| 7W / 12G | — | — | — | ||