Toledo Composite Control — 2021

Toledo Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally

2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

71.2

Composite Rank: #30 • 6–6 (FBS games)

GC Score

65.4

#35 in FBS

GC Net

+14.5

Raw GC Net

GC Off

40.1

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

25.6

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

#24 in FBS

MC Net

+0.31

Raw MC Net

MC Off

1.31

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

66.7%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Norfolk State H	—	98.3	0.1	+98.2	99.7%	100%	✓
2	Notre Dame A	L 29–32	16.4	72.3	-55.8	22.8%	3%	—
3	Colorado State H	L 6–22	43.9	42.5	+1.3	57.3%	59.9%	—
4	Ball State A	W 22–12	81.2	9.7	+71.5	76.6%	91.2%	—
5	Massachusetts A	W 45–7	96.3	0.9	+95.4	97.9%	100%	✓
6	Northern Illinois H	L 20–22	41.7	33.2	+8.5	61%	41.5%	—
7	Central Michigan A	L 23–26	11.4	77.4	-66	28%	0.6%	—
8	Western Michigan H	W 34–15	55	18.6	+36.4	65.4%	40.4%	—
10	Eastern Michigan H	L 49–52	47.4	41.2	+6.2	52.2%	52%	—
11	Bowling Green A	W 49–17	96.1	2.8	+93.3	93%	100%	✓
12	Ohio A	W 35–23	82.6	4.6	+78	90.1%	95.4%	—
13	Akron H	W 49–14	96.3	0.7	+95.5	98.1%	100%	✓
1	Middle Tennessee NPost	L 24–31	50.7	29.3	+21.5	58.3%	59.9%	—
6W / 12G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
2	Notre Dame A	L 29–32	4.99	2.5	+2.49	2	1	✓ +2	1
3	Colorado State H	L 6–22	0.85	1.69	-0.84	1	2	✗ 1	0.85
4	Ball State A	W 22–12	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.39
5	Massachusetts A	W 45–7	0	0	+0	2	0	✓ +2	0
6	Northern Illinois H	L 20–22	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.58
7	Central Michigan A	L 23–26	1.87	0.93	+0.94	2	1	✓ +2	0.93
8	Western Michigan H	W 34–15	0	1.04	-1.04	0	1	✗ 0	1
10	Eastern Michigan H	L 49–52	0.55	1.1	-0.55	1	2	✗ 1	0.55
11	Bowling Green A	W 49–17	1.38	0.34	+1.04	4	1	✓ +4	0.34
12	Ohio A	W 35–23	0.38	0	+0.38	1	0	✓ +1	0.38
13	Akron H	W 49–14	0.16	0	+0.16	3	0	✓ +3	0.05
1	Middle Tennessee HPost	L 24–31	0.75	0.75	+0	1	1	Tied	0.75
6W / 12G			—	—	—	17	9	—	—