Northwestern Composite Control — 2021

Northwestern Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally

2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

18.4

Composite Rank: #123 • 2–9 (FBS games)

GC Score

14.1

#121 in FBS

GC Net

-63.3

Raw GC Net

GC Off

7.8

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

71.1

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

22.7

#124 in FBS

MC Net

-2.54

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.06

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

100%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Michigan State H	L 21–38	5.3	92.4	-87.1	13.2%	0%	—
2	Indiana State H	—	97.9	0.6	+97.3	98.5%	100%	✓
3	Duke A	L 23–30	6.1	90.9	-84.8	15.2%	0%	—
4	Ohio H	W 35–6	94.3	2.3	+92	94.3%	100%	✓
5	Nebraska A	L 7–56	1.3	98.5	-97.3	3.1%	0%	—
7	Rutgers H	W 21–7	65.7	13.6	+52.1	67.5%	52.3%	✓
8	Michigan A	L 7–33	1.9	92.8	-91	4.6%	0%	—
9	Minnesota H	L 14–41	4.3	93.9	-89.7	10.7%	0%	—
10	Iowa H	L 12–17	4.6	90.4	-85.9	11.4%	0%	—
11	Wisconsin A	L 7–35	1.1	94.2	-93.2	2.6%	0%	—
12	Purdue N	L 14–32	5.6	88.8	-83.1	14%	0%	—
13	Illinois A	L 14–47	2.6	94.6	-92	6.4%	0%	—
2W / 11G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	Michigan State H	L 21–38	0	1.89	-1.89	0	1	✗ 0	1
3	Duke A	L 23–30	0.3	0.61	-0.31	1	2	✗ 1	0.3
4	Ohio H	W 35–6	0.75	0	+0.75	2	0	✓ +2	0.38
5	Nebraska A	L 7–56	0	5.41	-5.41	0	3	✗ 0	1
7	Rutgers H	W 21–7	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.81
8	Michigan A	L 7–33	0	9.51	-9.51	0	3	✗ 0	1
9	Minnesota H	L 14–41	0	2.19	-2.19	0	1	✗ 0	1
10	Iowa H	L 12–17	0	1.9	-1.9	0	1	✗ 0	1
11	Wisconsin A	L 7–35	0	11.16	-11.16	0	4	✗ 0	1
12	Purdue H	L 14–32	0	7.22	-7.22	0	4	✗ 0	1
13	Illinois A	L 14–47	0	7.84	-7.84	0	6	✗ 0	1
2W / 11G			—	—	—	3	25	—	—