Northern Illinois Composite Control — 2021

Northern Illinois Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally

2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

41.6

Composite Rank: #99 • 8–5 (FBS games)

GC Score

41.2

#79 in FBS

GC Net

-22.3

Raw GC Net

GC Off

24.2

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

46.5

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

#108 in FBS

MC Net

-1.53

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.92

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

80%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Georgia Tech A	W 22–21	31.8	40.5	-8.7	38.5%	7.8%	—
2	Wyoming H	L 43–50	6.7	84.6	-77.9	13.4%	0%	—
3	Michigan A	L 10–63	0.3	98.2	-97.9	0.8%	0%	—
4	Maine H	—	93.1	2.4	+90.7	94%	100%	✓
5	Eastern Michigan H	W 27–20	87.3	6.7	+80.5	83.2%	89.3%	✓
6	Toledo A	W 22–20	33.2	41.7	-8.5	39%	5%	—
7	Bowling Green H	W 34–26	78.1	7.7	+70.4	84.9%	85.4%	—
8	Central Michigan A	W 39–38	12.9	73.4	-60.5	23.6%	0.6%	—
10	Kent State A	W 41–23	23.2	57.9	-34.8	33.4%	7.3%	—
11	Ball State H	W 30–29	12.2	68.9	-56.7	28.4%	0%	—
12	Buffalo A	W 33–27	43.7	20.1	+23.6	62%	37.4%	—
13	Western Michigan H	L 21–42	4.5	92	-87.6	11.2%	0%	—
14	Kent State N	W 41–23	83.7	7.4	+76.3	81.6%	78.2%	✓
1	Coastal Carolina NPost	L 41–47	30.6	49.6	-19	37%	11.5%	—
9W / 13G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	Georgia Tech A	W 22–21	0.6	0.6	+0	1	1	Tied	0.6
2	Wyoming H	L 43–50	3.12	1.04	+2.08	3	1	✓ +3	1
3	Michigan A	L 10–63	0	22.18	-22.18	0	7	✗ 0	1
5	Eastern Michigan H	W 27–20	0.55	0	+0.55	1	0	✓ +1	0.55
6	Toledo A	W 22–20	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
7	Bowling Green H	W 34–26	0.69	0.34	+0.35	2	1	✓ +2	0.34
8	Central Michigan A	W 39–38	1.87	0	+1.87	2	0	✓ +2	0.93
10	Kent State A	L 47–52	0.62	1.86	-1.24	1	3	✗ 1	0.62
11	Ball State H	W 30–29	0.39	0.39	+0	1	1	Tied	0.39
12	Buffalo A	W 33–27	0.47	0.47	+0	1	1	Tied	0.47
13	Western Michigan H	L 21–42	0	1.04	-1.04	0	1	✗ 0	1
14	Kent State H	W 41–23	1.86	0.62	+1.24	3	1	✓ +3	0.62
1	Coastal Carolina APost	L 41–47	2.07	4.15	-2.08	1	2	✗ 1	1
8W / 13G			—	—	—	16	19	—	—