Navy Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
42.1
Composite Rank: #96  •  4–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
23.5
#108 in FBS
GC Net
-49.1
Raw GC Net
GC Off
14.8
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
63.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
60.6
#72 in FBS
MC Net
-0.55
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.66
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 37 points. Navy generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 60.6) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 23.5). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Marshall H L 7–49 2.7 95.6 -92.9 6.6% 0%
2 Air Force H L 3–23 12.7 66.6 -53.9 24.1% 0%
4 Houston A L 20–28 22.6 59.7 -37.2 24.3% 0%
5 UCF H W 34–30 9.6 81.5 -71.9 17.4% 2.6%
6 SMU H L 24–31 13.5 65.6 -52.1 23.1% 0%
7 Memphis A L 17–35 3 95.9 -93 7.4% 0%
8 Cincinnati H L 20–27 6.4 82.3 -75.9 6.9% 0%
9 Tulsa A W 20–17 26.4 52 -25.5 38.6% 20%
10 Notre Dame A L 6–34 5.4 83.6 -78.3 5.5% 0%
12 East Carolina H L 35–38 23.2 50 -26.8 40.1% 8.7%
13 Temple A W 38–14 93.4 3.7 +89.7 90.8% 100%
15 Army A W 17–13 46.3 29.8 +16.5 59.3% 41%
4W / 12G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Marshall H L 7–49 0 3.21 -3.21 0 2 ✗ 0
1
2 Air Force H L 3–23 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
4 Houston A L 20–28 1.86 3.72 -1.86 1 2 ✗ 1
1
5 UCF H W 34–30 2.69 1.35 +1.34 2 1 ✓ +2
1
6 SMU H L 24–31 1.68 1.68 +0 1 1 Tied
1
7 Memphis A L 17–35 0 1.07 -1.07 0 1 ✗ 0
1
8 Cincinnati H L 20–27 2.91 2.91 +0 1 1 Tied
1
9 Tulsa A W 20–17 2.85 0 +2.85 2 0 ✓ +2
1
10 Notre Dame A L 6–34 0 7.49 -7.49 0 3 ✗ 0
1
12 East Carolina H L 35–38 0 1.03 -1.03 0 1 ✗ 0
1
13 Temple A W 38–14 0.26 0 +0.26 2 0 ✓ +2
0.13
15 Army A W 17–13 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
4W / 12G 9 12