2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
42.1
Composite Rank: #96
•
4–8
(FBS games)
GC Score
23.5
#108 in FBS
GC Net
-49.1
Raw GC Net
GC Off
14.8
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
63.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
60.6
#72 in FBS
MC Net
-0.55
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.66
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 37 points.
Navy generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 60.6)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 23.5).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Marshall H | L 7–49 | 2.7 | 95.6 | -92.9 |
| 2 | Air Force H | L 3–23 | 12.7 | 66.6 | -53.9 |
| 4 | Houston A | L 20–28 | 22.6 | 59.7 | -37.2 |
| 5 | UCF H | W 34–30 | 9.6 | 81.5 | -71.9 |
| 6 | SMU H | L 24–31 | 13.5 | 65.6 | -52.1 |
| 7 | Memphis A | L 17–35 | 3 | 95.9 | -93 |
| 8 | Cincinnati H | L 20–27 | 6.4 | 82.3 | -75.9 |
| 9 | Tulsa A | W 20–17 | 26.4 | 52 | -25.5 |
| 10 | Notre Dame A | L 6–34 | 5.4 | 83.6 | -78.3 |
| 12 | East Carolina H | L 35–38 | 23.2 | 50 | -26.8 |
| 13 | Temple A | W 38–14 | 93.4 | 3.7 | +89.7 |
| 15 | Army A | W 17–13 | 46.3 | 29.8 | +16.5 |
| 4W / 12G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Marshall H | L 7–49 | 0 | 3.21 | -3.21 |
| 2 | Air Force H | L 3–23 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 4 | Houston A | L 20–28 | 1.86 | 3.72 | -1.86 |
| 5 | UCF H | W 34–30 | 2.69 | 1.35 | +1.34 |
| 6 | SMU H | L 24–31 | 1.68 | 1.68 | +0 |
| 7 | Memphis A | L 17–35 | 0 | 1.07 | -1.07 |
| 8 | Cincinnati H | L 20–27 | 2.91 | 2.91 | +0 |
| 9 | Tulsa A | W 20–17 | 2.85 | 0 | +2.85 |
| 10 | Notre Dame A | L 6–34 | 0 | 7.49 | -7.49 |
| 12 | East Carolina H | L 35–38 | 0 | 1.03 | -1.03 |
| 13 | Temple A | W 38–14 | 0.26 | 0 | +0.26 |
| 15 | Army A | W 17–13 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 4W / 12G | — | — | — | ||