Hawai'i Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
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Hawai'i
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
50.3
Composite Rank: #80  •  5–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
33.9
#97 in FBS
GC Net
-33.4
Raw GC Net
GC Off
19.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
52.4
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
66.8
#54 in FBS
MC Net
-0.23
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.07
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 33 points. Hawai'i generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 66.8) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 33.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 UCLA A L 10–44 0.6 98.6 -98 1.4% 0% —
1 Portland State H — 92.1 3.3 +88.7 91.6% 90.7% ✓
2 Oregon State A L 27–45 2.2 96.7 -94.5 5.5% 0% —
3 San José State H L 13–17 17.3 61.1 -43.7 32.6% 0% —
4 New Mexico State A W 48–34 89.8 3.9 +86 90.7% 100% —
5 Fresno State H W 27–24 18.5 65.6 -47.1 26.5% 2.3% —
7 Nevada A L 17–34 10.7 80.5 -69.8 14.9% 0% —
8 New Mexico State H W 48–34 78 9.8 +68.1 75.4% 72.1% ✓
9 Utah State A L 31–51 3.6 94 -90.4 9% 0% —
10 San Diego State H L 10–17 7.2 88.5 -81.3 18.1% 0% —
11 UNLV A L 13–27 35.1 46.4 -11.3 44% 26.9% —
12 Colorado State H W 50–45 63.5 16.6 +46.9 70.3% 55.4% —
13 Wyoming A W 38–14 78.1 17 +61.1 74.9% 72.6% ✓
5W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 UCLA A L 10–44 0 5.17 -5.17 0 3 ✗ 0
1
2 Oregon State A L 27–45 1.68 3.36 -1.68 1 2 ✗ 1
1
3 San José State H L 13–17 0.88 0.88 +0 1 1 Tied
0.88
4 New Mexico State A W 41–21 0.11 0.04 +0.07 3 1 ✓ +3
0.04
5 Fresno State H W 27–24 5.55 1.85 +3.7 3 1 ✓ +3
1
7 Nevada A L 17–34 0 1.25 -1.25 0 1 ✗ 0
1
8 New Mexico State H W 48–34 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.04
9 Utah State A L 31–51 2.01 2.01 +0 2 2 Tied
1
10 San Diego State H L 10–17 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
11 UNLV A L 13–27 0 0.58 -0.58 0 2 ✗ 0
0.29
12 Colorado State H W 50–45 0.85 0.85 +0 1 1 Tied
0.85
13 Wyoming A W 38–14 2.08 0 +2.08 2 0 ✓ +2
1
5W / 12G ——— 13 14 — —