2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
36.4
Composite Rank: #106
•
3–9
(FBS games)
GC Score
20
#114 in FBS
GC Net
-54.4
Raw GC Net
GC Off
8.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
62.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
52.7
#89 in FBS
MC Net
-0.97
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.26
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
66.7%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 33 points.
Georgia Southern generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 52.7)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 20).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Gardner-Webb H | W 30–25 | 68.2 | 11.7 | +56.5 |
| 2 | Florida Atlantic A | L 6–38 | 20 | 52.3 | -32.3 |
| 3 | Arkansas A | L 10–45 | 0.7 | 98.5 | -97.8 |
| 4 | Louisiana H | L 20–28 | 8.4 | 79.7 | -71.3 |
| 5 | Arkansas State H | W 59–33 | 73 | 8.5 | +64.5 |
| 6 | Troy A | L 24–27 | 9.5 | 81.9 | -72.4 |
| 7 | South Alabama A | L 14–41 | 3.5 | 93.7 | -90.2 |
| 9 | Georgia State H | L 14–21 | 22.6 | 42.2 | -19.7 |
| 10 | Coastal Carolina H | L 8–28 | 3.2 | 89.8 | -86.6 |
| 11 | Texas State A | W 38–30 | 57.5 | 15.9 | +41.6 |
| 12 | BYU H | L 17–34 | 6.4 | 85.2 | -78.8 |
| 13 | App State A | L 3–27 | 1.9 | 94.8 | -92.9 |
| 3W / 12G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Gardner-Webb H | W 30–25 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 2 | Florida Atlantic A | L 6–38 | 0 | 0.68 | -0.68 |
| 3 | Arkansas A | L 10–45 | 0 | 4.26 | -4.26 |
| 4 | Louisiana H | L 20–28 | 0 | 3.33 | -3.33 |
| 5 | Arkansas State H | W 59–33 | 0.16 | 0.16 | +0 |
| 6 | Troy A | L 24–27 | 1.23 | 0 | +1.23 |
| 7 | South Alabama A | L 14–41 | 0 | 1.73 | -1.73 |
| 9 | Georgia State H | L 14–21 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 10 | Coastal Carolina H | L 8–28 | 0 | 2.07 | -2.07 |
| 11 | Texas State A | W 38–30 | 0.22 | 0 | +0.22 |
| 12 | BYU H | L 17–34 | 1.68 | 3.36 | -1.68 |
| 13 | App State A | L 3–27 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 3W / 12G | — | — | — | ||