Georgia Southern Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
36.4
Composite Rank: #106  •  3–9 (FBS games)
GC Score
20
#114 in FBS
GC Net
-54.4
Raw GC Net
GC Off
8.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
62.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
52.7
#89 in FBS
MC Net
-0.97
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.26
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
66.7%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 33 points. Georgia Southern generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 52.7) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 20). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Gardner-Webb H W 30–25 68.2 11.7 +56.5 73.5% 64.6%
2 Florida Atlantic A L 6–38 20 52.3 -32.3 32.2% 0.9%
3 Arkansas A L 10–45 0.7 98.5 -97.8 1.7% 0%
4 Louisiana H L 20–28 8.4 79.7 -71.3 16.2% 0%
5 Arkansas State H W 59–33 73 8.5 +64.5 79.9% 71.2%
6 Troy A L 24–27 9.5 81.9 -72.4 23.2% 0.6%
7 South Alabama A L 14–41 3.5 93.7 -90.2 8.9% 0%
9 Georgia State H L 14–21 22.6 42.2 -19.7 38.9% 7.1%
10 Coastal Carolina H L 8–28 3.2 89.8 -86.6 8% 0%
11 Texas State A W 38–30 57.5 15.9 +41.6 65.1% 50.6%
12 BYU H L 17–34 6.4 85.2 -78.8 9.8% 0%
13 App State A L 3–27 1.9 94.8 -92.9 4.7% 0%
3W / 12G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Gardner-Webb H W 30–25 0 0 +0 2 0 ✓ +2
0
2 Florida Atlantic A L 6–38 0 0.68 -0.68 0 1 ✗ 0
0.68
3 Arkansas A L 10–45 0 4.26 -4.26 0 2 ✗ 0
1
4 Louisiana H L 20–28 0 3.33 -3.33 0 2 ✗ 0
1
5 Arkansas State H W 59–33 0.16 0.16 +0 1 1 Tied
0.16
6 Troy A L 24–27 1.23 0 +1.23 2 0 ✓ +2
0.61
7 South Alabama A L 14–41 0 1.73 -1.73 0 3 ✗ 0
0.58
9 Georgia State H L 14–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
10 Coastal Carolina H L 8–28 0 2.07 -2.07 0 1 ✗ 0
1
11 Texas State A W 38–30 0.22 0 +0.22 1 0 ✓ +1
0.22
12 BYU H L 17–34 1.68 3.36 -1.68 1 2 ✗ 1
1
13 App State A L 3–27 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
3W / 12G 7 12