2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
55.2
Composite Rank: #68
•
3–8
(FBS games)
GC Score
39.2
#86 in FBS
GC Net
-25.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
27.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
52.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
71.2
#39 in FBS
MC Net
+-0
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.04
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
75%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 32 points.
Colorado State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 71.2)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 39.2).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | South Dakota State H | — | 10 | 70.1 | -60.1 |
| 2 | Vanderbilt H | L 21–24 | 58.6 | 29.5 | +29.1 |
| 3 | Toledo A | W 22–6 | 42.5 | 43.9 | -1.3 |
| 4 | Iowa A | L 14–24 | 6.4 | 79.4 | -73 |
| 6 | San José State H | W 32–14 | 93.2 | 4.9 | +88.3 |
| 7 | New Mexico A | W 36–7 | 91.5 | 4.3 | +87.2 |
| 8 | Utah State A | L 24–26 | 16.1 | 59.8 | -43.7 |
| 9 | Boise State H | L 19–28 | 50.3 | 31.7 | +18.7 |
| 10 | Wyoming A | L 17–31 | 18.8 | 59.4 | -40.6 |
| 11 | Air Force H | L 21–35 | 6.7 | 90.6 | -83.8 |
| 12 | Hawai'i A | L 45–50 | 16.6 | 63.5 | -46.9 |
| 13 | Nevada H | L 10–52 | 2.3 | 96.8 | -94.4 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | Vanderbilt H | L 21–24 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.12 |
| 3 | Toledo A | W 22–6 | 3.03 | 1.51 | +1.52 |
| 4 | Iowa A | L 14–24 | 1.9 | 1.9 | +0 |
| 6 | San José State H | W 32–14 | 2.63 | 0 | +2.63 |
| 7 | New Mexico A | W 36–7 | 0.58 | 0 | +0.58 |
| 8 | Utah State A | L 24–26 | 0 | 1.01 | -1.01 |
| 9 | Boise State H | L 19–28 | 3.45 | 1.72 | +1.73 |
| 10 | Wyoming A | L 17–31 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 11 | Air Force H | L 21–35 | 0 | 1.55 | -1.55 |
| 12 | Hawai'i A | L 45–50 | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0 |
| 13 | Nevada H | L 10–52 | 0 | 3.76 | -3.76 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||