Colorado State Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
55.2
Composite Rank: #68  •  3–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
39.2
#86 in FBS
GC Net
-25.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
27.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
52.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
71.2
#39 in FBS
MC Net
+-0
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.04
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
75%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 32 points. Colorado State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 71.2) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 39.2). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 South Dakota State H 10 70.1 -60.1 25% 0%
2 Vanderbilt H L 21–24 58.6 29.5 +29.1 63.2% 62.6%
3 Toledo A W 22–6 42.5 43.9 -1.3 42.7% 26.4%
4 Iowa A L 14–24 6.4 79.4 -73 10.3% 0%
6 San José State H W 32–14 93.2 4.9 +88.3 87.7% 97.3%
7 New Mexico A W 36–7 91.5 4.3 +87.2 89.4% 100%
8 Utah State A L 24–26 16.1 59.8 -43.7 38.1% 2.3%
9 Boise State H L 19–28 50.3 31.7 +18.7 53.8% 45.6%
10 Wyoming A L 17–31 18.8 59.4 -40.6 33.5% 7.9%
11 Air Force H L 21–35 6.7 90.6 -83.8 16.8% 0%
12 Hawai'i A L 45–50 16.6 63.5 -46.9 29.8% 4.3%
13 Nevada H L 10–52 2.3 96.8 -94.4 5.8% 0%
3W / 11G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Vanderbilt H L 21–24 0 0.12 -0.12 0 1 ✗ 0
0.12
3 Toledo A W 22–6 3.03 1.51 +1.52 2 1 ✓ +2
1
4 Iowa A L 14–24 1.9 1.9 +0 1 1 Tied
1
6 San José State H W 32–14 2.63 0 +2.63 3 0 ✓ +3
0.88
7 New Mexico A W 36–7 0.58 0 +0.58 4 0 ✓ +4
0.14
8 Utah State A L 24–26 0 1.01 -1.01 0 1 ✗ 0
1
9 Boise State H L 19–28 3.45 1.72 +1.73 2 1 ✓ +2
1
10 Wyoming A L 17–31 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
11 Air Force H L 21–35 0 1.55 -1.55 0 1 ✗ 0
1
12 Hawai'i A L 45–50 0.85 0.85 +0 1 1 Tied
0.85
13 Nevada H L 10–52 0 3.76 -3.76 0 3 ✗ 0
1
3W / 11G 13 10