Bowling Green Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
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Bowling Green
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
40.3
Composite Rank: #101  •  4–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
26.3
#104 in FBS
GC Net
-44.9
Raw GC Net
GC Off
13.7
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
58.6
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
54.4
#83 in FBS
MC Net
-0.88
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.53
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
0%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 28 points. Bowling Green generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 54.4) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 26.3). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Tennessee A L 6–38 0.2 97.8 -97.6 0.6% 0% —
2 South Alabama H L 19–22 40.5 33.3 +7.3 45.9% 22% —
3 Murray State H W 27–10 70.9 12.2 +58.7 69.5% 54.3% ✓
4 Minnesota A W 14–10 18.7 68.1 -49.4 19.8% 6.3% —
5 Kent State A L 20–27 8.4 73 -64.6 17.5% 0% —
6 Akron H L 20–35 50.6 40.7 +9.9 55.7% 54.2% —
7 Northern Illinois A L 26–34 7.7 78.1 -70.4 15.1% 0% —
8 Eastern Michigan H L 24–55 11.1 70.4 -59.3 19.9% 0% —
9 Buffalo A W 56–44 73.2 15.7 +57.5 67.4% 61.6% ✓
11 Toledo H L 17–49 2.8 96.1 -93.3 7% 0% —
12 Miami (OH) A L 7–34 7.5 84.7 -77.3 8.5% 0% —
13 Ohio H W 21–10 38.8 33.2 +5.6 49.9% 25.8% —
4W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Tennessee A L 6–38 2.51 5.01 -2.5 1 2 ✗ 1
1
2 South Alabama H L 19–22 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.58
3 Murray State H W 27–10 0 0 +0 1 1 Tied
0
4 Minnesota A W 14–10 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
5 Kent State A L 20–27 0.62 0 +0.62 1 0 ✓ +1
0.62
6 Akron H L 20–35 0 0.16 -0.16 0 3 ✗ 0
0.05
7 Northern Illinois A L 26–34 0.58 1.17 -0.59 1 2 ✗ 1
0.58
8 Eastern Michigan H L 24–55 0 1.64 -1.64 0 3 ✗ 0
0.55
9 Buffalo A W 56–44 0 0.47 -0.47 0 1 ✗ 0
0.47
11 Toledo H L 17–49 1.51 6.05 -4.54 1 4 ✗ 1
1
12 Miami (OH) A L 7–34 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
13 Ohio H W 21–10 0.38 0.38 +0 1 1 Tied
0.38
4W / 12G ——— 6 17 — —