App State Composite Control — 2021

App State Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally

2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

63.8

Composite Rank: #46 • 9–4 (FBS games)

GC Score

60.2

#43 in FBS

GC Net

+6.5

Raw GC Net

GC Off

35.8

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

29.2

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

67.4

#53 in FBS

MC Net

-0.2

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.84

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

100%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	East Carolina H	W 33–19	86.3	5.4	+80.9	89%	95.3%	—
2	Miami A	L 23–25	17.3	62.8	-45.5	32%	0.6%	—
3	Elon H	—	96.6	0.5	+96.1	98.7%	100%	✓
4	Marshall H	W 31–30	43.1	33.1	+10	55.1%	36.4%	—
5	Georgia State A	W 45–16	95	4	+91	90.1%	100%	✓
7	Louisiana A	L 16–24	7.3	85.5	-78.2	18.2%	0%	—
8	Coastal Carolina H	W 30–27	18.2	46.7	-28.5	37.1%	5.1%	—
9	UL Monroe H	W 59–28	97.3	0.4	+96.9	99.1%	100%	✓
10	Arkansas State A	W 48–14	95.1	1.6	+93.5	96.1%	100%	✓
11	South Alabama H	W 31–7	94.4	2.3	+92.1	94.3%	100%	✓
12	Troy A	W 45–7	69.7	15.1	+54.7	80.6%	78.8%	—
13	Georgia Southern H	W 27–3	94.8	1.9	+92.9	95.3%	100%	✓
14	Louisiana A	L 16–24	9.5	81.1	-71.6	23.8%	0%	—
1	Western Kentucky NPost	L 38–59	9.8	69.1	-59.3	22.1%	0%	—
9W / 13G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	East Carolina H	W 33–19	3.1	1.03	+2.07	3	1	✓ +3	1
2	Miami A	L 23–25	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
4	Marshall H	W 31–30	1.6	4.81	-3.21	1	3	✗ 1	1
5	Georgia State A	W 45–16	3.37	0	+3.37	3	0	✓ +3	1
7	Louisiana A	L 13–41	0	3.33	-3.33	0	2	✗ 0	1
8	Coastal Carolina H	W 30–27	0	4.15	-4.15	0	2	✗ 0	1
9	UL Monroe H	W 59–28	0.42	0	+0.42	4	0	✓ +4	0.1
10	Arkansas State A	W 48–14	0.33	0	+0.33	2	0	✓ +2	0.16
11	South Alabama H	W 31–7	0.58	0	+0.58	1	0	✓ +1	0.58
12	Troy A	W 45–7	3.07	0	+3.07	5	0	✓ +5	0.61
13	Georgia Southern H	W 27–3	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.24
14	Louisiana A	L 16–24	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
1	Western Kentucky HPost	L 38–59	0	2.08	-2.08	0	1	✗ 0	1
9W / 13G			—	—	—	19	9	—	—