North Texas Team Profile
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(#25) North Texas Mean Green (@MeanGreenFB)
Eric Morris (3rd year) (23-15)
Record: 12 - 2 (7 - 2)  |  Proj: 12 - 2 (#9)  |  SOS: (#109)
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North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Texas vs Lamar-27.563.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-12.056.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-6.557.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army-2.550.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama-13.563.5W 36 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida-2.568.5L 36 - 63ON
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA-4.064.5W 55 - 17OY
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-25.560.5W 54 - 20OY
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy-6.568.5W 31 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-17.569.5W 53 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-18.557.0W 56 - 24OY
Fri 11/28 North Texas vs Temple-20.065.5W 52 - 25OY
Fri 12/5 North Texas at Tulane-1.566.5L 21 - 34UN
Sat 12/27 North Texas vs San Diego State-7.555.5W 49 - 47ON

Record Prediction: 11.6 - 2.4  #9
Schedule Rating:  #109
Record: 12 - 2( AAC: 7 - 2)
Spread Record 10 - 4 - 0 | O/U 10 - 4
Future 2026 Schedule

North Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Texas at South Alabama+6.061.5W 52 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin-21.572.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 North Texas at Texas Tech+10.570.5L 21 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 North Texas vs Wyoming-7.055.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 North Texas vs Tulsa-7.065.5W 52 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 North Texas at Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 41 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 North Texas at Memphis+10.567.5L 44 - 52OY
Sat 10/26 North Texas vs Tulane+7.570.5L 37 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 North Texas vs Army+6.568.0L 3 - 14UN
Fri 11/15 North Texas at UTSA+1.073.0L 27 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 North Texas vs East Carolina-2.573.5L 28 - 40UN
Sat 11/30 North Texas at Temple-10.563.5W 24 - 17UN
Fri 1/3 North Texas vs Texas State+15.567.5L 28 - 30UY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #91
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (AAC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 5 - 8 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 2 Avg, 5 Bad, 5 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 5 Bad, 5 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 67 points   #141
2025 class: 130 points   #110
2024 class: 172 points   #70
2023 class: 138 points   #96
2022 class: 103 points   #118

Average Class Ranking:   #107
Average Recruiting Points: 122

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Average G5
4 Year Class:  #96 - Best:  #70 Worst:  #118



CFB Crootin Averages
American Athletic Class: 129  #103
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 154 points   #80
2020 class: 165 points   #68
2019 class: 159 points   #75
2018 class: 127 points   #101
2017 class: 111 points   #115

Average Class Ranking:   #88
Average Recruiting Points: 143
 

2025 Portal Class  #82 - 32 players, 83 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #63 - 21 players, 85 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #110 - 10 players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #80 - 9 players, 82 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Jordan Davis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker31946569%43693499.4
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins2311424256.251
Makenzie McGill7538955.227
Ashton Gray5837756.551
Kiefer Sibley4527456.145
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young7012641018.184
Cameron Dorner55886816.177
Miles Coleman47550211.759
Landon Sides34449113.260
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski1139260
Trey Fields (Tr)1007162
Will Jones II (Tr)824012
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Ethan Day (Tr)547580
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Joshua Pierce (Tr)142210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)483016
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)434104
Bryan Allen Jr.151004
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 53%  #78
Offense Returning Production: 43%  #101
Defense Returning Production: 64%  #28

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #82
32 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
43% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 44% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00  #91
Offense Talent  #102 | Defense Talent  #82
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #78 | 2021  #79


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 12 - 2
2025 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 10 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 10 - 4

2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 6 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2022 Record: 7 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 5

Four Year Record: 30 - 23
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 29 - 23 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 19 - 15
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 6 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9

2020 Record: 4 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 4
Spread: 3 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 3

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 3 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2018 Record: 9 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 12

Eight Year Record: 53 - 48
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 48 - 52 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 41 - 30

North Texas Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Mexico Bowl North Texas vs San Diego State-7.555.5W 49 - 47
2024Responder Bowl North Texas vs Texas State+15.567.5L 28 - 30
2022Frisco Bowl North Texas vs Boise State+12.063.0L 32 - 35
2021Frisco Football Classic North Texas vs Miami (OH)+2.056.5L 14 - 27
2020Beach Bowl North Texas vs App State+21.567.5L 28 - 56
2018Mexico Bowl North Texas vs Utah State+7.067.5L 13 - 52
2017Orleans Bowl North Texas vs Troy+5.561.5L 30 - 50
2016Dallas Bowl North Texas vs Army+9.547.0L 31 - 38
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.36 (2)1.33 (32)51% (4)4.98 (4)33.8 (3)46%69%.18 (80)1.22 (52)44% (94)4.03 (104)28.8 (67)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.23 (45)1.47 (4)42% (70)3.91 (69)28.4 (87)36%48%.22 (98)1.26 (62)44% (98)4.03 (93)32.1 (122)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251428:2225.546%69%5.645.51.425.31.70
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.71



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1445.145.743.751.5% (4)4.98 (4)1.4265111943175.348% (84)51% (50)53% (2)51% (8)12% (9).36 (2)
2025 Defense1426.52228.343.5% (94)4.03 (104)2 - - - - - 60% (134)38% (2)48% (125)37% (27)14% (108).18 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1333.533.234.842.5% (70)3.91 (69)1.5224511532985.638% (129)62% (6)40% (109)44% (39)15% (47).23 (45)
2024 Defense1334.2264344.3% (98)4.03 (93)1.1 - - - - - 54% (105)46% (26)47% (106)42% (79)11% (133).22 (98)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1448% (84)53% (2)36.6194.15.349 (1).33 (3)3.58 (1)73% (58)7% (8)1.1 (17)
2025 Defense1460% (134)48% (125) - - - - .18 (111)3.19 (118)77% (111)9% (80)1.01 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)
2024 Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1451% (50)51% (8)23.234.1317.39.313.735 (8)9 (20).43 (13)1.6 (63)26% (9)39% (6).44 (22)5% (25)2 (68)
2025 Defense1438% (2)37% (27) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (55)1.7 (113)29% (116)28% (58).27 (63)4% (126)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)
2024 Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)




Overall
Power Rating  #80 | SP+ Rating  #15
Performance Grade  #9
Special Teams Grade  #55
Record Prediction 11.6 - 2.4  #9
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4

5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Offense
Power  #65 | SP+  #1 | Grade  #3
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Off Success  #4 | Explosivness  #32
Rush Grade  #4 | Pass Grade  #11
Rush Success  #2 | Explosiveness  #17
Pass Success  #8 | Explosiveness  #63
Run Block  #11 | Pass Block  #17
OL YDS  #1 | Stuff Rate  #7
Scoring Zone Off:  #4

Defense
Power  #100 | SP+  #67 | Grade  #39
Def Success  #94 | Explosivness  #52
Rush Success  #125 | Explosiveness  #93
Tackling  #3 | Run Def  #75
Pass Success  #27 | Explosiveness  #113
Pass Rush  #83 | Coverage  #17
F7 Havoc  #80 | DB Havoc  #126
DL YDS  #118 | Def Stuff Rate  #125
Scoring Zone Def  #104


Roster
Team Talent  #91 Blue Chips: 0%  #101
Offense Talent  #102 Defense Talent  #82
Crootin: '25 Class  #141 - 4 YR Class:  #96
Profile: Declining Average G5
Portal Class  #82 - 32 players, 83 Avg
43% of Roster from Portal, 44% TY
70 New Players, 78% of '25 Roster  #106

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 45.1 - 26.5 | Scoring Margin: (18.6)
Home: 46 - 22 (23.7) | Road: 44 - 28 (15.4)
OC: Jordan Davis - been OC for 3 years
DC: Skyler Cassity - in his first season

2025 Record: 12 - 2 (10 - 4 - 0) (AAC: 7 - 2)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (5 - 8 - 0) (AAC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 5 - 7 (6 - 5 - 1) (AAC: 3 - 5)
4 Yr Record: (30 - 23) | 8 Yr Record: (53 - 48)


Notes
Caleb Hawkins inj in MWC title game was huge
Hired HC Neal Brown after Morris leaves for Ok St
600+ yds of Off in Temple W. NT in the AAC Title Game
37-0 closing run vs Char, Mestemaker 600+ yds
UNT has allowed 200+ yds rushing 3 straight games
NT Fatafehi Vailea II out for season, big loss
DBs much better than F7, DL issues esp vs run
Best Tackling grade via PFF into USF game
Off on a tear, rFr QB Mestemaker brilliant start
Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.06 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 52%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 74%
Great when off Schedule 39%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Returning Prod
UNT lost their '24 starting QB (13%)  #106
Returning Production: 53%  #78
Offense: 43%  #101 | Defense: 64%  #28
OL Prod: 26%  #129, 1 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2030  #103 | From Portal: 1073  #37
Rush Prod: 56%  #63 | Rec Prod: 47%  #77
Def Front Seven: 33% - Secondary: 73%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #15 - Power Rating:  #80
2024 SP+ Overall:  #89 - Power Rating:  #98
2023 SP+ Overall:  #88 - Power Rating:  #90
2022 SP+ Overall:  #73

#73 #89 #94 #48

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #1 - Power Rating:  #65
2024 SP+ Offense:  #27 - Power Rating:  #70
2023 SP+ Offense:  #30 - Power Rating:  #27
2022 SP+ Offense:  #52

#52 #29 #49 #33

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #67 - Power Rating:  #100
2024 SP+ Defense:  #121 - Power Rating:  #105
2023 SP+ Defense:  #133 - Power Rating:  #131
2022 SP+ Defense:  #99

#99 #132 #113 #84