Notre Dame at Navy - 2026 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Gillette Stadium - Foxborough, MA

 
Fighting Irish (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (43 - 12)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 0.7 (#2)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
ND coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -26  (SP+ ND -18)
Projected Score: ND: 43 - NAVY: 17 (59)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
ND Travel: 769 miles
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (26 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#69)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/6 Notre Dame at Wisconsin-24.5
Sat 9/12 Notre Dame vs Rice-45
Sat 9/19 Notre Dame vs Michigan State-30
Sat 9/26 Notre Dame at Purdue-26.5
Sat 10/3 Notre Dame at North Carolina-24
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Stanford-34
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame at BYU-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Notre Dame vs Navy-23.5
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame vs Miami-5.5
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame vs Boston College-33
Sat 11/21 Notre Dame vs SMU-17.5
Sat 11/28 Notre Dame at Syracuse-31

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Navy's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Navy vs Notre Dame+23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
NAVY#16 (.3)49% (9)31.552% (4)3.45 (5)28642% (58)1304.23 (28)#103 (.21)41% (57)2539% (26)44% (102)4.2 (115)48.31.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense124238.249%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36
NAVY Defense132524.240.7%4.21.2 - - - - - 52%46%39%44%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1217.61736.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
NAVY Offense1331.53849%4.231.1204162861305.875%23%52%42%9%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Navy1332:3620.452%68%5.748.31.11.24.52.1131.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)
NAVY Defense1352% (97)39% (26) - - - - .11 (76)2.85 (59)76% (103)8% (111)1.06 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1243% (7)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
NAVY Offense1375% (3)52% (4)49.4286.15.841 (4).28 (6)3.45 (5)81% (13)7% (11)1.06 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)
NAVY Defense1346% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 7 (100).37 (119)1.6 (104)31% (75)29% (71).3 (71)4% (129)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1256% (133)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
NAVY Offense1323% (134)42% (58)8.2141309.315.912 (106)6 (20).46 (9)2 (3)23% (1)34% (27).52 (8)2% (2)2.3 (6)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 29.02  #2
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 30.81  #2
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.58  #2
2026 Talent Rating: 1178.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 87%  #2
Notre Dame's 2026 Expected Record: 11.3 - 0.7
Notre Dame's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #13

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 884
Average Power Five Talent: 897.85
Average FBS Talent: 714.47

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 29.02   Navy: 0.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.4   Navy: 6.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 0.695  #77
Navy's Offense Rating: 11.49  #66
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.30  #99
2026 Talent Rating: 138.00  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Navy's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Navy's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #26
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 542.57
Average Power Five Talent: 897.85
Average FBS Talent: 714.47


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 43
Navy 17

Projected Total Points: 59
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Notre Dame49Navy10Notre Dame -30.5Notre Dame54.5Over
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27Navy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy446 Overs
Notre Dame2184 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#2) ND at (#77) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #2 #77
SP+SP+ #5 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #135
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #101
Notre Dame Notes
(1/29) DEs talented but need more, DT portals big adds
(1/29) Def is loaded, LB & Secondary both top CFB units
(1/29) OL great pieces, expecting a lot. RBs inexp'd
(1/28) ? at skill but loaded w talent. Portal WR's help
(1/28) QB Carr primed for big season. Will lead Offense
(1/25) Freeman, Denbrock, QB Carr all back. Big year.
(1/25) Losing DB coach Mickens is a big loss
Notre Dame Injury Report
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #10 #57
ExplosiveExp #3 #115
PPAPPA #4 #103
PowerPwr #2 #99
SP+SP+ #4 #72
Pts POPPO #6 #115
HavocHav #36 #124
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #26
Run ExplRExp #8 #114
PPAExp #11 #76
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #50 #59
Stuff RateStuff #101 #80
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #102
Pass ExplPExl #25 #104
PPAExp #10 #119
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #111
DB HavocDB #35 #129
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #9 #13
ExplosiveExp #71 #85
PPAPPA #16 #12
PowerPwr #66 #2
SP+SP+ #26 #13
Pts POPPO #28 #6
HavocHav #3 #19
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #20
Run ExplRExp #32 #32
PPAExp #6 #37
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #5 #39
Stuff RateStuff #1 #74
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #16
Pass ExplPExl #3 #93
PPAExp #9 #8
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #77
DB HavocDB #2 #3
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (49-10)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2024 (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Jordan Faison11100%400040.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Nolan James Jr.143702.615
C.J. Carr413330.828
Jordan Faison1-80-8.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Micah Gilbert993110.326
Mylan Graham (Tr)693015.523
Luke Talich184184.084

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Jaylen Sneed355330
Keon Keeley (Tr)133311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Jackson Gutierrez030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braxton Woodson4441469.474
Jackson Gutierrez2817206.123
Charles Robinson103303.37
Vic Listorti31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Hutchison5134326.863
Joshua Guerin360020.035
Jake Norris123023.023
Charles Robinson221010.511

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Giuseppe Sessi811000
Coleman Cauley783030
Phillip Hamilton490002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Moutome428423
Griffen Willis487331
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Marcus Bleazard112100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Julian Moutome428423
Phillip Hamilton490002